Global Economic Review: June 2017

Macro: Americas Tough US Economics  The topline number looked good:  US Q1 GDP growth was further revised up to +1.4% from +1.2% annualized on quite better consumer spending while the Q2 forecast trend by the Atlanta Federal Reserve slipped lower to below 3%.  Lower pending home sales missed by being…

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June 2017 Commodity Snapshot

OPEC Oil Production Higher.  If there is one takeaway from the oil market, OPEC oil output in June increased by about 280,000 bpd per Reuters – and total production can be seen in the graph to the right (including June’s estimate).  Libya and Nigeria are on track to increase oil…

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Global Economic Review: May 2017

Macro: Americas US Q1 GDP growth was revised up to +1.2% from +0.7% annualized (due to higher business investment and consumer spending) and the Q2 forecast has held in the high 3% range for most of the quarter by the Atlanta Federal Reserve, setting the expectation for a decent 2017. …

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Global Economic Review: April 2017

Macro: Americas The US economy disappointed in Q1 2017 by growing only +0.7% at an annualized rate.  Q1 has been disappointing over the last five years, with growth an average of +1% versus +2.5% for the other quarters.  One can see that on the WSJ graph to the right (Q1s…

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