Global Economic Review: March 2017

Macro: Americas The Federal Reserve did indeed raise rates as expected at the March meeting, setting the pace for three hikes this year.  In the meeting minutes released in early April, the Fed also indicated that they may also change monetary policy to allow for gradual reduction of the bond…

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March 2017 Commodity Snapshot

The OPEC cuts are holding (thanks primarily to Saudi Arabia) as early indications for March exports have been assessed at 25.27 million bpd in March, almost flat compared to February levels.  For those not subject to cuts, Iran is seen as having to struggle to expand much further as its…

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What did Trump do to Volatility?

It’s no secret in the CTA investment and hedge fund space that volatility in the markets (specifically stock market and related equity index futures markets) has gone to historically low levels.  Volatility was showing signs of declining beginning in the third quarter of 2016 as everyone awaited the outcome of…

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Global Economic Review: February 2017

Macro: Americas The Federal Reserve went into reverse on interest rate direction with multiple governors indicating that at the March meeting there will be an increase based on low unemployment rates (headline number at a low 4.8%) and steady to higher GDP growth (currently +1.8% annualized per the Atlanta Fed,…

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